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Schedule

PANEL SURVEY DATA AND BUSINESS CYCLE ANALYSIS

 GUC campus Berlin

Am Borsigturm 162, 13507 Berlin

http://www.guc-berlin.de/en/about_guc_berlin/campus_info_and_location.aspx

Tuesday,17 June 2014

12.00 – 1pm

Registration

1 – 2pm

LUNCH BREAK

Session 1: Methods, chair: Maritta Paloviita

2 – 2.30 pm

Christian Seiler, ifo Munich and Klaus Wohlrabe, ifo Munich: Sample Size Determination in Business Tendency Surveys

2.30 –3 pm

Marwa El-Agroudy, GUC: Temporal and spatial disaggregation

3 – 3.30 pm

Maritta Paloviita and Sami Oinonen: Analysis of changing panel composition in the ECB SPF survey.

3.30 – 4 pm

Tea break

 

Session 2: Forecasting, chair: Konstantin Kholodilin

4- 4.30 pm

Christian Mueller, GUC: Genuine ex-ante forecasting: Further results of an ongoing experiment

4.30 – 5pm

Konstantin A. Kholodilin, DIW, and Boriss Siliverstovs, ETH Zurich: Business confidence and forecasting of housing prices and rents in large German cities

5 – 5.30 pm

Tea break

7 – 10 pm

Workshop dinner

 

“CANA RESTAURANTA”

 

Neue Roßstraße 11/12
10179 Berlin-Mitte
Near Underground station: Märkisches Museum (U2)

 

End of day 1

 

 

Day 2

Wednesday, 18 June 2014

 

Session 3: Indicators, chair: Michael Graff

9 – 9.30 am

Klaus Abberger, Michael Graff, Boriss Siliverstovs and Jan-Egbert Sturm, KOF ETH Zurich: The KOF Economic Barometer, Version 2014: A composite leading indicator for the Swiss business cycle

9.30 – 10 pm

Michael Graff, Matthias Bannert, Richard Etter and Martin Wörter, KOF ETH Zurich: Is ‘Normal’ Capacity Utilisation a Technology Driven Variable? Analyses with Macro and Micro Data from Business Tendency Surveys

10 – 10.30am

Tea break

 

Session 3: Research proposal drafting, chair: Christian Mueller

10.30 – 11 am

Formal requirements and timing: DAAD funds, SNF and DFG

11 – 11.30 am

Topical foci

11.30 – 12 am

Workload distribution

12 – 12.15 am

Closing

12.15 – 2 pm

LUNCH BREAK

 

End of day 2

 

End of workshop